IMF sees weak global growth between Iran war risk and the AI boom

Broad summary: The IMF outlook captures a global economy pulled between two forces: geopolitical risks that can raise energy costs and weaken confidence, and artificial-intelligence investment that supports expectations for productivity. What happened: AP reported that the IMF expects global growth around 3%. The Spanish desk framed the figure as weak for many countries that need job creation, public revenue and room to absorb external shocks. What is confirmed: The article links the macroeconomic outlook to energy, conflict and AI investment. Those forces do not affect all countries evenly. What remains uncertain: The productivity effect of AI is still hard to measure. It is also unclear how gains will be distributed between countries with chips, capital, talent and data-center capacity and countries exposed to higher energy costs. Context for U.S. readers: The U.S. sits near the center of the AI investment boom, but it is also exposed to energy and inflation swings when geopolitical risk rises. Impact: This story connects macroeconomics, technology and conflict in one risk map. It should be updated when the IMF publishes or revises country-level forecasts. Editorial translation note: This English edition is localized from the Spanish analysis and AP source material.